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The Pure DFC Punter – 24th September 2011

The Darts’ home performances are starting to make the bookmakers aware of the perils of pricing up Dartford matches. After Tuesday, we were not successful in our two bets, but we move on.

Current state of play

+3.42 units

Dartford host Tonbridge Angels on Saturday, and the Angels will be hoping for the positive side of their erratic form this season. Tonbridge have racked up heavy victories over Maidenhead United, Eastleigh and Salisbury City, yet have been trounced by Sutton United, Farnborough and Woking… what to make of them???

Key stats:

– Dartford FC won the last four matches against Tonbridge, including a friendly and last season’s Kent Senior Cup victory.

– Tonbridge have only been beaten once away from home this season (a 2-3 against Welling United)

– There has been over 3.5 goals in all but two of the Angels matches, and they were both 0-0 draws.

Bets of the match:

As mentioned earlier, the prices on Dartford are coming in quickly, so we will have to adapt by trying to find an edge. Over 3.5 goals in the match is available at 2.2 with Bwin, so we will take one point of that. Again, the half-time market is a potential gold mine, and with Dartford offered at 1.95 to be ahead at half-time, we’ll invest 2 points in that, and with Tuesday still in the mind, three of DFC’s home matches have ended 2-1, so one point of that at 7/1.

1 point: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.20 (Bwin)
2 points: Dartford HT @ 1.95 (Bet365)
1 point: Dartford 2 TAFC 1 @ 8.00 (Various)

 

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